Members
of the United Nations Commission on Inquiry on Syria (l-r) Carla del
Ponte of Switzerland, American Karen Konig Abuzayd, chairman Paulo
Sergio Pinheiro of Brazil, and Thailand’s Vitit Muntarbhorn arrive at a
Sept. 16, 2013 press conference following the presentation of the
commission’s report to Human Rights Council members in Geneva. (Fabrice
Coffrini/AFP/Getty Images)
Syrians are the victims of a smorgasbord of global double dealing and
hypocrisy that exceeds the sad standards we have become used to in this
century. The arguments have seen some unlikely alliances in the West.
In support of intervention are people who are genuinely concerned at the
plight of Syria’s suffering people, along with those who are happy to
cheer Israeli bombings of Syrian, Palestinian and Lebanese people. The
presence of these latter ghouls in the pro-intervention camp should give
anyone pause, along with their like-minded neocon friends who want the
Pentagon to use all that smart and lethal military technology.
On the other hand, we have conservative isolationists who really do
not see it is as our business if foreigners are killing each other in
faraway places of which they know little, and they are arm in arm with
radical leftists. Once upon a time, the left preached proletarian
internationalism, workers in unity across national boundaries, sending
volunteers to Spain, calling for the opening of a Second Front in Europe
and applauding foreign aid to the Viet Cong. In this new era of what we
should puckishly call socialist nationalism, a country’s sovereignty is
sacred and unimpeachable—at least if threatened by any Western power.
So they come to the same conclusion as the right: let them rot.
The United Nations is used as a tool by both sides. It has been
honorable but ineffective. Ban Ki-moon has actually repeatedly
emphasized the horror of what has happened while eschewing Washington’s
unilateralism.
Indeed, some of those who oppose intervention will piously point to
the need for Security Council authorization before any action is taken
against Syria, or Serbia, or Sudan. But if the U.N. does authorize
action, those people will oppose it just as fervently! For the dying
Syrians, the U.N. must seem thoroughly irrelevant, but it is the cockpit
in which their case is being fought. Russia, a weaker power with a
Security Council veto, cites the organization continuously as the
necessary legitimation for action against Syria, clinging to the literal
legality of U.N. obligations while being insouciant of the spirit.
President Barack Obama has been puzzlingly imprecise about U.S.
attitudes to the world body, perhaps reflecting a battle inside his team
with the neocons who see the U.N. as an instrument to be used when it
suits them but cast aside when inconvenient. Obama’s reputation will
take considerable time to recover from his initial gaffe of suggesting
that the U.S. would not wait for the U.N. inspectors’ report on chemical
weapons use in Damascus. After the brief post-Bush honeymoon, it is
obvious that Washington’s lucid moment about the U.N. and international
law has come to an end.
One would like to think that the British House of Commons vote
against intervention—from the parliament that declared war on Hitler
because he had invaded Poland—was not simply an expression of
isolationism, but also a comment on legality. Both Cameron and Obama had
signaled their willingness to attack without the U.N. report, let alone
a U.N. mandate.
The members of parliament also voted in a context in which it is
universally admitted that Tony Blair and Bush lied to secure support for
their disastrous attack on Iraq, and in which maladroit and insincere
leadership turned a bad dream into a nightmare, and turned the
intervention in Afghanistan—which was legal—into a total disaster.
The framers of the concept of Responsibility to Protect—R2P, as it
became known in diplomatic shorthand in the age of text and Twitter—were
well aware of the pitfalls, and their document anticipated most of the
perils that face its honest application. Few countries are unalloyed
emulators of the Good Samaritan: they do not like risking their own
citizens’ lives and taxpayers’ finances in a good cause. One might
remember that the U.S. sent the bill for Desert Storm to the Gulf
states, who sent on their claims to be paid with Iraqi reparations.
But the palpable disasters of Iraq and Afghanistan raise the question
of who can be entrusted to run such operations? Under R2P, the time to
intervene in Syria was two years ago, when the Assad regime began to
massacre demonstrators. The U.S. dithered, militarily and
diplomatically, emulating former Secretary of State James Baker when he
said of the Balkans that the U.S. “has no dog in this fight.” Some
decision makers were weighing on varying scales whether it was good for
Israel or bad for Iran, and the really cynical concluded that an endless
civil war eviscerating an Arab neighbor to Israel just had to be good
thing.
In the end, of course, the precipitating event was the chemical
weapons attack which crossed the red line that Obama probably now wishes
he had not drawn in the sand. This horrific attack diverted attention
from R2P to the chemical weapons issue, and allowed unusually adroit
Russian diplomacy to switch the issue from the regime’s killing with
mere physical impact weaponry to the chemical weapons. Before, the issue
was whether to use military force under R2P to protect civilians, with
or without a U.N. mandate. Now it has become simply chemical
disarmament.
To the dead, it might count as irrelevant whether they were charred
with napalm, burnt alive with white phosphorus, shelled in a marketplace
or disintegrated by drones dropping bombs from on high.
Syria had not hitherto signed the conventions banning chemical and
biological weapons, one reason being that it had neighbors—notably Iraq
and Israel—who also had not. Interestingly, the Israeli government is
happy that Syria might be disarmed, but less ecstatic about Damascus
ratifying the convention, since that raises the question of why poor
little Israel has not—not to mention the nuclear issue! Indeed, the U.S.
itself was a relatively late signatory to the convention.
Even then, there was something very Israeli in tone about the idea of
massive air-strikes to “punish” the regime. Its sole purpose was to
insulate Obama from the charges that he was doing nothing. Bombing the
chemical and biological weapons stocks carries fairly obvious risks. The
chances of massive casualties for the civilians who are being
“protected” are very high, while the denial of any intention of regime
change misses the point. How else does one stop the regime massacring
its citizenry without changing it? Apart from warming the cold hearts of
those who always applaud bombings of Arabs and Muslims, it is difficult
to see any point in the threatened exercise.
In an ideal world, a surgical military strike to take out the regime
might have stopped the killing, but that is far too late, and the only
country with the wherewithal to do it, the U.S., is manifestly unsuited
for the role after recent experiences, even in the unlikely event that
it could persuade its fellow U.N. members to entrust it with a mandate.
Past Humiliations
Moscow’s cooperation over the chemical issue might raise other
possibilities. Russian attitudes need to be put into historical and
diplomatic context. Yes, there is the basic immorality of support for
Assad (as for Qaddafi and Milosevic before). But Foreign Minister Sergei
Lavrov was Russia’s man at the U.N. after the first Iraq war, in which
Moscow cooperated in the spirit of the New World Order. It was regularly
humiliated by seeing its views set aside and resolutions with which it
had originally colluded being stretched to justify actions, bombings,
embargos and the economic destruction of a nation and people, well
beyond any reasonable reading of the resolutions. Lying Western leaders
bypassed Russia for the second Iraq war, and again in Libya, when
reluctantly conceding a principle on R2P Moscow once again was ignored
in the operation’s execution. Western behavior has indeed been such as
to justify some degree of paranoia! Bush and Blair’s precedents of
taking such phrases beyond the limits certainly explains Moscow’s
reluctance to see any mention of forcible intervention, even in a
chemical disarmament resolution.
The fact remains, however, that Lavrov has effectively thwarted the
U.S. push—which entailed, one suspects, some heavy pressure by Moscow on
its ally in Damascus, including a threat of withdrawal of support.
Sadly this shows what President Vladimir Putin could have achieved
earlier but chose not to, so there are no haloes on offer.
And then we come to continuing hypocrisy. U.N. Ambassador Samantha
Power in September was defending the possibility of intervening without
the approval of the U.N. Security Council. However, Washington can try
to get a resolution at an Emergency Special General Assembly, under the
“Uniting for Peace” resolution designed precisely to bypass a vetoed
Council. The two reasons for not doing so illustrate the lamentable
cumulative effects of American undiplomacy over the decades. Ironically,
to assemble the alleged “Coalition of the Willing” in Iraq, the
isolationists of the Bush administration carefully courted, albeit via a
somewhat rough wooing, many small nations, as did then-U.N. Ambassador
John Bolton in his quasi-theological crusade to thwart the International
Criminal Court.
Since the Obama administration is much less single-minded on Syria,
it has not devoted similar resources. A Coalition of the Dithering
somehow lacks focus. Most perniciously of all, however, the canker of
reflexive support for Israel has led the U.S., under both Republican and
Democrat administrations, to deny the legal validity of the very
process it had pioneered to fight the Korean War despite the Soviet
veto. The reason for that denial, of course, is that the Palestinians
had rediscovered the technique to combat the automatic U.S. veto on
behalf of Israel. Washington has therefore sacrificed a valuable legal
and diplomatic lever—which, by contagion, tempts it to illegal action.
A General Assembly resolution calling for an arms embargo might not
have “legal” effect, but it certainly would have a profound diplomatic
and moral effect on Moscow. It could also signal exasperation with
Washington’s Gulf allies and their support for the Salafist wing of the
opposition, whose sanguinary and shameless efforts have given Damascus
such a propaganda coup. But Washington shows no signs of sacrificing its
other interests for a bunch of dying and dispossessed Syrians by
threatening sanctions against Russia or the Gulf.
Sadly, however, while the U.N. can now offer hospice care to Syria
and help it to survive, there is no miracle cure in sight. Through its
agencies it can help the refugees and the internally displaced, and it
can provide inspectors and mechanisms to implement a cease-fire if Kerry
and Lavrov can pull one off. It will certainly be part of any
solution—but there are no unmitigatedly happy endings in view.